Avoiding the middle

the middle

Everything at the ends. Nothing in between.
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Avoiding the Middle: Why Life's Biggest Returns Come from the Extremes

Most people spend their lives seeking balance through moderation. But what if that's exactly what's holding them back? The barbell strategy - and my favorite meme of all time - reveal why the comfortable middle is actually the riskiest place to be.

The barbell strategy seems like just investment advice at first: put most of your assets in extremely safe investments and a small portion in highly speculative ones, avoiding everything in between. But it's actually a blueprint for how life works: the real opportunities, the asymmetric returns, come from operating at the extremes while avoiding the mediocre middle.

What's compelling isn't the traditional focus on the average - it's the recognition of where value emerges: at one end, those with lower IQ scores often succeed by keeping things simple and relying on intuition built over thousands of years of human evolution. At the other, those with higher IQ scores push theoretical boundaries and spot patterns others miss. Both extremes drive progress in their own unique ways, while the comfortable middle - despite having 'average' intelligence - often produces little of lasting value.

These two models - the barbell strategy and the reverse bell curve - are really telling us the same thing: the middle is a trap.

In investing, a "balanced" portfolio often means accepting hidden risks without corresponding rewards. In life, seeking moderation in everything means never achieving depth in anything. The majority clusters in the middle because it feels safe, but that perceived safety is an illusion.

The reverse bell curve
Capped downside
Uncapped upside

How I Try to Live This Philosophy

I've structured my life around this barbell principle, constantly seeking to operate at meaningful extremes while avoiding the mediocre middle:

At one end of the spectrum, I embrace the fundamentals of human existence:

Every morning, my wife and I walk our children to daycare. While the world rushes to optimize everything, we take the long way by the water. No phones, no podcasts - just us, enjoying nature and each other's company. These quiet morning walks have become one of the best parts of our day.

My workout routine reflects this same philosophy. I do high-intensity workouts focused purely on compound movements at home. This setup lets me keep an eye on my kids while demonstrating the importance of physical cultivation - they see dad doing pull-ups and squats, creating a natural bridge between family life and personal development.

In the evening, I try to maintain a strict reading habit with physical books as part of my wind-down routine. It's a deliberate transition from the digital to the analog world, helping maintain consistent circadian rhythms.

Even socializing follows this anti-memetic pattern. At one end, deep conversations with close friends that can last for hours. At the other, fully committed celebrations where I'm completely present. What I avoid is the memetic middle ground - the obligatory drinks, the casual networking, the half-hearted social commitments that neither deepen relationships nor create memorable experiences.

At the other extreme, I dive deep into frontier technologies:

I actively explore cutting-edge developments in AI and crypto, making it a priority to attend key conferences around the world several times per year. These conferences let me pressure-test my thinking directly with the people building frontier technologies - the signal-to-noise ratio is worth the time investment.

I make concentrated bets on transformative projects and do my best to stay current with cutting-edge research papers and novel theoretical frameworks. When I'm in this mode, I'm fully there - no half measures, no hedging.

What I consciously avoid - the middle ground:

  • Mindless social media browsing (I try do this by using Lists on this website)
  • "Balanced" workouts that achieve neither strength nor skill
  • That dangerous middle ground of knowledge where you've read enough to have an opinion, but as Munger says, not enough to argue the other side's position better than they can.
  • The illusion of productivity through constant connectivity
  • Moderate positions that seem safe but compound hidden risks
The shape of the bet

Two poles. Nothing between.

One pole · Survive anything
Real estate in scarce, desirable places.
Compound movements, done daily.
Physical books.
Long-term people.
The middle
balanced fundshedged opinionsdefensible careerslukewarm conviction
The other · Change everything
Concentrated bets on AI and crypto.
Frontier research.
Sized to conviction.
No half-measures.

The Investment Parallel

This pattern becomes even clearer in how I approach investing. At one end, I focus on real estate in scarce, desirable locations - waterfront, walkable, community-rich areas. These aren't just amenities; they're expressions of fundamental human preferences that have endured for millennia.

At the other end, I make concentrated investments in truly transformative technologies. Not scattered bets across every trending sector, but carefully chosen positions in projects that could fundamentally reshape our future. I avoid the middle - no "balanced" mutual funds, no moderate-risk investments that offer neither safety nor significant upside.

The Power of Separation

The key isn't the specific extremes you choose - it's maintaining the separation between them. When I'm walking with my family, I'm fully present in that ancient human ritual. When I'm deep in technical research or at a frontier tech conference, I'm fully engaged with the bleeding edge. No checked emails during family dinner, no distracted parenting during deep work.

Some will argue this approach requires wealth. But the barbell strategy isn't about amounts - it's about patterns. Walking in nature is free. Reading research papers costs nothing. Making concentrated but small bets is possible for anyone. And most importantly, allocating your attention to the extremes - being fully present with family or deeply focused on learning - costs nothing but creates enormous value. The key isn't having more resources - it's avoiding the trap of spreading whatever resources you have, especially your attention, too thinly across the middle.

Some might see this approach as impractical or extreme. But I've found that this deliberate separation actually creates more space in life. The morning walks inform the technical insights. The physical training grounds the abstract thinking. By rejecting the comfortable middle, each activity becomes not just more focused but more alive.

There's no perfect answer to life's complexity. But that simple IQ distribution meme reveals a profound truth: while everyone rushes to the middle seeking safety, the real returns - in life, learning, and wealth - quietly compound at the edges.

The real returns quietly compound at the edges.

Enter Cable Capital